Field Reports

lion-chasing-gazelle

For the past three years of The Rational Male there’s been a consistent presence in the comment threads of guys seeking advice for particular situations with regards to Game. Whether it’s fine tuning certain aspects of Game or a larger consensus of the guys participating in my comment threads it’s become obvious there’s a need for a dedicated page and comment thread to address these Field Reports.

So I’m instituting this page for exactly this. If there is some urgency to have members of The Rational Male community analyze your particular situation feel free to hit anyone up in the comments of my current post, but please refer them to your particular field report with a link to your comment here. I’m hoping this will alleviate the mass of posts for field report analysis and Game specific insights piled into the main blog post for any given week.

There will be some rules for this “forum” as such. I ask that you only keep your comments to addressing the field reports at hand and save your larger theoretical stuff for the main posts, or if relevant, keep the “bigger scope of things” posts to being as succinct as possible. There will be no moderation in this comment thread (spamming excepted), so realize it will be a very hot kitchen before you post. I will impose no restrictions on video links here, nor will I limit links to various, but pertinent articles.

Understand, this is an experiment for now. It’s likely this comment thread will exceed thousands of comments. I’ll be instituting new comment plug-ins for wordpress to deal with this in the future, but I may archive this page the the posts and refresh this page in the future as well. If this gets cumbersome I may simply institute a dedicated forum-style sub-site of The Rational Male to accommodate for Game specific questions.

So have at it, post your field reports and feel free to comment on the ones you have some particular insight for. Be forewarned that it’s likely things may get a bit salty at times and I expect a lot of back & forth with debate and disagreements, but that’s what this thread is for – to hash out Game particulars for your given situations.

 

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Blaximus
Blaximus
2 years ago

😂 Jesus fuck. Well, no one does of anything except coronary cessation. Shot in the head? You’re dead when your heart stops. Cancer? You’re dead when your heart stops. Everyone technically does from the same thing, if you’re looking for straws to grasp at. Weighing 1200 pounds won’t kill you, it’s the heart stopping thing that’s deadly. Btw, I watched fox news for an hour or so trying to understand where this counter corona argument is coming from, and how I have a crystal clear picture. I just don’t know the why. Seems 100% purely political driven in support of… Read more »

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

Blax It’s all one big hoax. Not a hoax, more a delusion. You can get familiar with the concepts here, for free: In reading the history of nations, we find that, like individuals, they have their whims and their peculiarities; their seasons of excitement and recklessness, when they care not what they do. We find that whole communities suddenly fix their minds upon one object, and go mad in its pursuit; that millions of people become simultaneously impressed with one delusion, and run after it, till their attention is caught by some new folly more captivating than the first. We… Read more »

kfg
kfg
2 years ago
theasdgamer
2 years ago

@Blax, you don’t seem to get out much to flyover country. So let me tell you about it. I used to work for a company where I was on a floor with about 80 other people. Pretty high density. Especially in conference rooms. And the company rented multiple floors and multiple buildings downtown. All with high density. But on the street, not much density, unlike NYC. Even downtown. Except weekend nights in entertainment districts. Grocery parking lots are about half full around supper time. Companies have campuses all over town–in the burbs. Rush hour is a slow drive on the… Read more »

theasdgamer
2 years ago

“Btw, I watched fox news for an hour or so trying to understand where this counter corona argument is coming from,”

Blax, Fox News is pushing the dem panic…oops, I mean, pandemic…

If you want a skeptical source…gateway pundit…redstate…theconservativetreehouse

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

Two theories emerging… [draft] 1) People (especially spergs – not singling anyone out btw) are VERY GOOD and developing negative narratives. 1+1+1=3 sequences. They are NOT GOOD at anticipating, identifying or acting on UPSIDE surprises. 2) There is an enormous amount of cog dis (still searching if this is the right term) which is resulting in either panic or paralysis. Panic – the TP situation is an example. Paralysis – Blax going to work. Very interesting that no one here has put figures on paper re 4/30/20 outcomes. Theory is cog dis is preventing codifying future unknown because of paralysis… Read more »

kfg
kfg
2 years ago

” . . . preventing codifying future unknown because . . .”

. . . it is the future, which I don’t know, in no small part because I don’t know the present very well.

theasdgamer
2 years ago

Ok, Wahoo “Chicken Little” McDaniels, lol I now suspect that flu deaths are somewhat rarer than the statistics show, but pneumonia unrelated to Coronavirus is still a bigger killer than Coronavirus. @Blax The question is whether COVID19 is the primary cause of death or whether it’s incidental. Italian COVID19 deaths are counted even when COVID19 is incidental. An autopsy/mortality and morbidity investigation has to be done to determine whether the COVID19-related deaths are primary or incidental. Our public health monitors (WHO, CDC, NHS) are doing a piss-poor job. The smart money is always skeptical. Facts can persuade them, but not… Read more »

theasdgamer
2 years ago

@ Sentient I’m anticipating no more than about 100 deaths/day in the U.S. during the initial phase and an average of about 40-50/day by 4-20 The increase to 100 yesterday is still within normal flu/pneumonia threshold of 200 deaths/day at the peak of flu season. If the numbers hit 500, that will be alarming, but action will depend on location. Very few cases in my state. CA has multiples fewer deaths than NY with a bigger pop. LA and San Fran have high pop densities. But maybe they don’t have a lot of at risk elderly people. Still lots of… Read more »

theasdgamer
2 years ago

This Israeli has stolen my idea…young folks, love your elderly family members…from a distance…wear a mask and gloves when you prepare food for them…when you deliver the food, clean the outside of the containers…don’t kiss or hug them…leave right away…the epidemic will be over in four or five months and you can kiss them after that.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2020/03/22/naftali_bennet_most_important_thing_to_stop_coronavirus_is_separate_young_people_from_old_people.html

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

preventing codifying future unknown because The data are still so fuzzy as to make the Confidence Interval without meaning. Here’s a simple fraction: Cd / Tc where “Cd = COVID deaths” and “Tc = Total COVID infections”. If the numbers are accurate, it is trivial to obtain a death rate, and given a large enough set of data the CI can be tight enough to actually make some reasonable predictions (within a margin of error). When the margin of error is 50% nothing useful can be predicted, it’s a coin flip. We don’t have realistic numbers for either value. Especially… Read more »

Blaximus
Blaximus
2 years ago

Sentient Bruh😁 I’m not given to panic, and I’ve never been a herd type. Not in my character. I weigh risks and decide how I want to proceed. My going to work isn’t paralysis. It’s low risk ( other 600+ employees won’t be there ) and I can help employees working from home in 5 countries do so effectively. Lol, I spent 4 hours yesterday helping people who aren’t used to using a laptop to VPN into the network, and reset dozens of passwords for numbnuts that can’t remember a password longer than 24-48 hours. Upside? No traffic. My hour… Read more »

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

AR

Love it. Excellent example of my theory. Because fuzzy interprets as no meaning, so of course a global multi trillion dollar loss makes sense.

Meanwhile hard yet imprecise data suggest 16K deaths globally to date. But never mind.

Blaximus
Blaximus
2 years ago

For the record Asd I’m familiar with many states in the u.s. Im familiar with all of our ” regions “. That ” black woman ” that said that stuff about nyc? She’s wrong and you don’t know any better so you believed her. I’ve spent a little time in the Philippines too, but not in manilla. I’ve also spent time in Japan, korea, Hong Kong, London ( hi Palma😁), Mexico, Singapore, Canada, Jamaica, Puerto Rico , and Brazil. Didn’t ask anyone ” what’s it like ” because I have eyes and a brain and I can see for myself.… Read more »

having a bad day
having a bad day
2 years ago

@Sentient Two theories emerging… [draft] 1) People (especially spergs – not singling anyone out btw) thanks… i think…lol… all that selenium is making me jumpy…lol are VERY GOOD and developing negative narratives. 1+1+1=3 sequences. They are NOT GOOD at anticipating, identifying or acting on UPSIDE surprises. this is actually somewhat true… even when i’m on my meds…lol… and is certainly true for dudes on the spectrum in general… as well as other people…lol it’s called catastrophizing… it’s a logical thinking error… buut, i always try to control for this by trying to fit all the data i can get into… Read more »

Blaximus
Blaximus
2 years ago

Re: covid19, for what it’s worth. I haven’t had the flu since I was 16, despite being around people that have various for viruses. I’m not certain why that is, and my doctor scolds me yearly because I don’t get flu shot even though they’re free at my job. But I don’t want covid19 under these conditions, because I’m not a spring chicken. I ache anyway and I don’t want to catch anything that is going to exacerbate that, along with fucking with my lungs possibly. Call it ” panic ” or whatever, but I kinda count on the medical… Read more »

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

HABD More data points but not buying all of it… here are just too many variables in play and not enough certainty… I had a friend who was an engineer by training, lived in Battery Park, across the street from WTC. When he heard the crash, he looked out the window, looked at the news and said, to no one in particular, “that is going to come down”. He went downstairs, got on the subway and took it to Grand Central, then got on the next Metro North train that came in. He was off the island by the time… Read more »

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

it really is going to be the mother of all opportunities…

I’m going long oil…

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

The Johns Hopkins dashboard now extends to the US County level. Finer grained data than before, when it only went to the state level. https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 Use the “+” button to zoom in, use the mouse / cursor to move the map, click on a red dot inside a state to see known cases. For example, King County, Washington (Seattle) has 1040 confirmed cases. Just eyeball the red dots as a ‘heat map’ and the trend is obvious, so people who write stuff like “nuh uh, not in MAH town” are revealing their own ignorance / stupidity / autism. Because the… Read more »

having a bad day
having a bad day
2 years ago

@Sentient Meanwhile hard yet imprecise data suggest 16K deaths globally to date. But never mind. this one i can do… with that ball-park assumption…lol if we set the total global death amount at 16k as of today… the kung flu infection rate is doubling every 4 days or so… in some populations it’s doubling every 2-3 days, but we can go with 4 days, it won’t really matter… and we don’t need to know the actual cfr %… we can just use gross numbers of dead… assuming the cfr remains unchanged… for whatever reason… if there is no containment, like… Read more »

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

This study in England appears to be what governments and elites have bought as predictive https://archive.is/o/8s0Ok/https://t.co/AwE2cHIbeJ and why they are freaking out with “shelter in place” orders. I already posted links to other analyses with other points of view. Suggest reading the document or at least skimming it to get the premises clear, in order to avoid surprises from government in the next fortnight. Policy of the .gov is like a freight train when it gets rolling, no future in getting on the tracks in front of it. Sentient I’m going long oil Could be too early. Look at the… Read more »

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

Here is a basic sigmoid function.

http://www.saedsayad.com/images/ANN_Sigmoid.png

Note it starts out with a pseudo linear slope that has a low rise, then transitions to a “knee” as it goes exponential.
Then a linear phase followed by a decaying exponential and back to linear.

Every pandemic / epidemic eventually burns out. Of course, as the surgeons say, “All bleeding stops”. eventually. One way or another.

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

Blaximus I don’t want to catch anything that is going to exacerbate that, along with fucking with my lungs possibly Cosign. COVID-19 apparently uses ACE-2 receptors to get into lung tissue. Men have more ACE-2 receptors than women. East Asians have more than Europeans or Africans. People who breath a lot of smoke for years have more ACE-2 receptors – men in Wuhan who breathed that pollution and smoked ciggies didn’t do well. A lot of Italians smoke too. The CT scans that were posted a while back in the Brit media showed a lot of stuff in the lungs,… Read more »

kfg
kfg
2 years ago

comment image

It’s in Essex county, NY. The size of Rhode Island, less than 40K population. It ain’t NYC.

having a bad day
having a bad day
2 years ago

@PalmaSailor @HABD You might be on the spectrum and on the meds lol. But I’m not, and I’m not, and I have done the numbers: “Very interesting that no one here has put figures on paper re 4/30/20 outcomes” They’re on the laptop in the kitchen, I’ve done them and I’m not posting them. There’s no “win” here in doing so, and no one else’s opinion worries me. +1… if i had any reasonable way to get an ‘accurate’ number prediction, i wouldn’t be posting either…lol… but that^ number is all fiction… bc of all the mitigation/suppression already in play…… Read more »

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

Latin-based cultures from Italy to Spain to South America are real big on close personal contact with all the hugging and cheek kissing, etc.

Never liked that stuff, now I have an excuse to take a step back. Maybe say “Bad Touch!” as a bonus.

Addenda: there’s some evidence than an early symptom of COVID-19 is loss of sense of smell and even taste.

Yo Palma, did that happen to you?

having a bad day
having a bad day
2 years ago

@AR

Does this lung infection cause permanent scarring? Maybe, maybe not. Too soon to tell. There are ACE-2 receptors in the heart, does it get in there, and is that why we have vids of “guy walking down the street collapses” perhaps?

or it mutated into a “deadly but not infectious’ one-off… probably never really know…

A medical school dean in my extended social circle is a skeptical man but he’s self-quarantined because “The uncertainty is too high”.

smart man…lol… probably couldn’t get any Brazil nuts…lol

good luck!

theasdgamer
2 years ago

What I see Blax is that the panicked people have only listened to the media echo chamber (which includes Fox News on the Coronavirus topic), while the skeptics tend to look to other sources besides the echo chamber and do their own analysis. “Elites” can get panicked like anybody. It started with bogus warnings by Ghebreyesus. director of WHO. Comparing coronavirus confirmed case mortality rate with the flu/pneumonia estimated mortality rate. I spotted right off that that was apples to oranges. Then you get scare papers from an ex-Obama official predicting 1.5 million deaths in the U.S. and the paper… Read more »

theasdgamer
2 years ago

COVID19 is “Son of Climate Change”…panic mongering…faux science is pushing policy…no negative analysis is allowed…they are “deniers” dontchaknow…despite the fact that research requires testing of your theories by your peers and negative analysis is required

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

Anyone with free time and a hankering for a fast desktop could start here:

https://www.tomshardware.com/news/Newegg-AMD-Ryze-6-3600-plus-motherboard-bundle

Softek
Softek
2 years ago

@Blax Check out pregnenolone 50mg daily and DHEA 10mg daily. We’re lucky we can still get these in the USA. There seems to be a struggle to get these listed as controlled substances and banned except for prescription use. God forbid people have access to over the counter therapies that can be more effective than prescriptions. As far as “old man syndrome” goes, these show some promise for restoring some of the youthful levels of hormones. Experimenting with higher doses is probably OK. Can research all day on PubMed about various studies done at various dosages. But if I recall… Read more »

IAS
IAS
2 years ago

I got out of the market but I’m worried about inflation / hyperinflation hitting while my “position” is, basically, cash (in USD). So…

@Sentient: long on oil, meaning you are into shares of some of the oil companies?

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

Palma

Why do you care what I think?

I’m interested in sussing out the difference between ideas and actions. Right now, the majority of folks with the really really sooper bad outcome analysis remain… At home. Instead of grabbing all their assets and weapons and hightailing to a safe space.

Which is telling if you follow HABD’s “watch what they do” advice.

Do your own math, spin your own wheel (or fidget spinner) make your own decisions and accept the consequences of those.

Been done and posted last Friday.

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

So “rice on a chessboard” math aside…

april 30 is ball park about 10-12 million dead world-wide… give or take…

Are you buzzing in with this as your final answer?

[See what I did there…]

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

AR IAS

Could be too early. Look at the chart from Sept. 2008 to Sept. 2009 for just about anything traded.

Absolutely. It is. Buy it down. 18 to 24 month horizon. ETFs. Options.

Blax is gonna crank that hemi up when he gets through this.

Blaximus
Blaximus
2 years ago

Softek Lol, I have preg and dhea. At one time I was a supplement fiend and used myself as a test rat.😁 My hormone levels are great for now. I test 3 times a year out of habit ( forever ) because bloodwork fascinates me and my insurance covers it. Recently my testosterone levels finally tell to around 975-1000 after years of being stratospheric. The physical stuff is just good old plain wear and tear. I spent decades lifting crazy heavy and slamming my fists into heavy bags almost daily. I understood at the time it was going to come… Read more »

kfg
kfg
2 years ago

Gear I ordered from Amazon last Friday is projected to arrive, Prime delivery, Thursday.
Gear I ordered today, maybe in a month or so.

Shit’s getting serious.

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

Palma

It’s not going to be so bad here, not much competition despite the population density.

Well if we are talking 500M global dead…
comment image

You guys have been there before.

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

PalmaSailor

Couldn’t smell any of them. Sense of smell has totally gone.

Hah. Interesting. I’m guessing the virus in the sinuses disrupts the odor bulbs. Further guess: as your bod clears the virus the sense of smell should return, probably gradually.

Be sure to include on that Tinder profile “Am so over the virus I can smell you….”, should be magnetic!

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

Both the mayor and the governor are warning that as the situations change negatively, it they do, then other measures might happen.

They’ve probably been teleconferencing with the Italian mayors.

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

Sentient Right now, the majority of folks with the really really sooper bad outcome analysis remain… At home. Instead of grabbing all their assets and weapons and hightailing to a safe space. Before the airspace was closed, a notable number of private jets landed in New Zealand, allegedly including Bezos aircraft. A hippy dippy woman I know decided last week to take her school-aged children and spend spring break “plus” in a remote location where her family has land and a couple of houses. Just, y’know, because. There’s people doing a limited bugout, but probably not on a large scale.… Read more »

Softek
Softek
2 years ago

@Blax Have you tried red light therapy and collagen? Speaking of lockdown, the collagen hydrolysate from Great Lakes Gelatin has an indefinite shelf life. Not a complete protein, but has some protein-sparing effects, helping to prevent muscle wasting in the absence of some essential amino acids. Not a bad thing to have on hand. A much cheaper option would be pure glycine powder. Glycine is a big constituent of gelatin and probably largely responsible for its benefits on joint pain and inflammation. 8-10 grams a day of glycine might be worth trying if you haven’t tried that already. Collagen is… Read more »

having a bad day
having a bad day
2 years ago

@Sentient So “rice on a chessboard” math aside… that’s the only math that counts for viral infections…lol… faster or slower… the number still goes up by roughly doubling… how fast depends on the R0 value and the doubling rate… but double is double…lol… and we haven’t even gotten close to the second half of the chess board, yet… what the end result of the disease actually expresses as is a different analysis… and lets say 98-99% survival rate… with a good med system… with a super infectious virus (which supposedly this is… and it sure seems like it…) that means… Read more »

kfg
kfg
2 years ago

“…what’s a safer place than ‘home’?…”

The difference between this and the Plague is that I know what the vector is. Staying home where my food and weapons already are pretty much keeps me from going around licking other people’s money and doorknobs.

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

PalmaSailor Bugging out isn’t going to change your exposure to the virus at this stage in the game anyway Varies with location. Look at this map: https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6 Some places aren’t very hot yet. Even in the US there’s parts of flyover with only a few dots of confirmed cases. So bugout may make sense for some, but they ain’t coming back soon. Unconfirmed report from Florida: state gummint just imposed a 14-day quarantine for anyone entering the state from New York lol. Potential for comedy gold right there. Unconfirmed report from Norway: a fair number of Norwegians bugged out of… Read more »

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

keeps me from going around licking other people’s money and doorknobs.

Bugging out isn’t going to change your exposure to the virus at this stage in the game anyway

In a world without Amazon Prime, or toilet paper – let alone 500M dead… The analysis switches from the highly survivable virus to dying of “lead poisoning” or “rock poisoning” such as it may be…

kfg
kfg
2 years ago

“In a world without Amazon Prime . . .”

It’s official; Amazon are simply canceling orders deemed nonessential, although since they have no stock of essentials I’m not sure what that accomplishes.

They are also rationing the bit rate of video, although since they aren’t shipping network gear I’m not sure what that accomplishes.

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

They are also rationing the bit rate of video

I could not get anything on Amazon Video to play over the internet yesterday.

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

Back to women’s behaviors…

Nearby woman who wants to bang texted how inspiring my wife was doing “so much domestic” stuff… Lol. Sister wife situation post apocalypse?

Svelt young hottie been walking her dog around my place. Engaged her from a socially approved distance – virus stuff, what are you up to etc. After a bit of this notice. The wife has crept up silent as a cat by my elbow… I keep engaging and wife busts into the conversation… Until the girl walks off.

She said not a word after…

wahoo Mcdaniels
2 years ago

LOL , got snuck up on by a girl.

Blaximus
Blaximus
2 years ago

Softek I don’t know much about light therapy, but I’ll take a look. I have collagen, but I make my own beef bone broth usually, and I eat the grissle ( crunchy!!). That’s only to try and slow the degenerative aspects. There’s definitely a scalpel in my future.😁 Or I could settle for not being able to lift my arm above my head…. I’ll take the surgery. Maybe I’ll miss that broken glass sound in my shoulder one day. I look at it as a win. My doctor told me 15 years ago that if I didn’t have surgery on… Read more »

kfg
kfg
2 years ago

The good: Newegg had stock, the same price and claim to ship tomorrow.

The bad: From New Jersey.

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

One thing that Wuhan, China and northern Italy have in common is a lot of nitrogen dioxide. A lot. http://spaceref.com/coronavirus/coronavirus-impact-nitrogen-dioxide-emissions-drop-over-italy.html China has really bad air for reasons. The prevailing winds apparently trap NO2 in Italy against the Alps. I speculate that years of exposure to NO2 does bad things to human lungs. Add smoking to that and the risk increases. It could be — could be — that northern Italy and parts of China were the worst possible places for this latest SARS virus to infect people. People are dying in the US and Germany, but so far not in… Read more »

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

kfg
The bad: From New Jersey.

Ok, let’s think. Nitirile gloves, N95 mask, face shield, isopropyl alcohol – that gets the package off of the porch.

Hmm.

How about some UV-C light?

https://www.cureuv.com/collections/handheld-sterilizers/products/germawayuv-18-watt-handheld-uvc-surface-sterilizer-w-amber-uv-glasses

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

Earlier kfg wrote
No spam from Amazon

I looked.

https://www.amazon.com/Spam-Classic-12-Ounce-Can/dp/B011B6RCY8

“We don’t know when or if this item will be back in stock.”

Woo! Gettin’ serious!

Softek
Softek
2 years ago

@ Blax http://www.idoportal.com/blog/hanging A friend of mine just went in for shoulder surgery. He’s recovering just fine. He was unable to lift his arms above parallel to the ground. Completely frozen. But if/when you get surgery, it could be worth talking to your doctor about dead hangs. I’m assuming those are completely off the table now with such a shoulder injury. But I would be curious to know from a physical therapist or anyone else if dead hangs on a pullup bar can help rehabilitate the shoulders in post-op. It certainly seems that way. Obviously they gotta be healthy enough… Read more »

Culum Struan
Culum Struan
2 years ago

Fascinating discussion. With the caveat that no one knows anything in the absence of hard data – too many unanswered questions, my gut feeling is a lot closer to what Sentient says than HABD. I think we are going to have a stinking recession (maybe a real Depression if we’re very unlucky) but that would have been mostly caused by the response to corona rather than deaths or the virus itself (besides we were due a recession after a ten year bull market anyway). A whole bunch of other unpleasant social changes too probably (see how governments have started openly… Read more »

IAS
IAS
2 years ago

@Culum: on crypto, BTC seems to not be falling too much. You think it a good hedge against USD / EUR hyperinflation (given that it was designed as deflationary)?

Softek
Softek
2 years ago

@Culum The primary people being tested are the seriously ill ones. Like people who have to go to hospitals and be hooked up to a respirator. Who are also likely suffering from multiple respiratory viruses, because of their susceptibility to them. It’s also possible that dormant viruses can “wake up” in the case of compromised immunity, such as a coronavirus infection. So even the people dying after getting infected by coronavirus may not even actually be dying as a result of the coronavirus itself, but a multitude of other viruses. There’s no way to know if a normal flu would… Read more »

Culum Struan
Culum Struan
2 years ago

@IAS – yes, essentially. Obviously no guarantees, but that was what BTC was designed for during the last crisis and the time has come to see if it can fulfil that role or if it will fail. It may well fail, but it’s a bet with limited downside and very high upside. And if yes, other cryptos are likely to be caught up in the wave and profits will leak from BTC to them too. Plus in a world of QE and negative rates, Crypto might be one of the few places where money can make real returns. That’s the… Read more »

Culum Struan
Culum Struan
2 years ago

@Softek – yes, too many imponderables I agree. I think you’re doing the right thing – some basic precautions and get on with your life (to the extent you can)

theasdgamer
2 years ago

More people are fleeing NY for FL. NY, per capita, has 8 x the number of deaths compared with CA. Why? LA is very densely populated. Does NY have that much higher a percentage of at-risk population? Or does policy play a big role?

Blaximus
Blaximus
2 years ago

Land mass. Manhattan is an island with 1.6 million people, 70’000 per square mile. Another 12-13 million in the other boroughs. L.a. Has 13 million approximately, but lo s Angeles is huugggeee comparatively, and nowhere near as ” dense “.

It’s not policy, it’s a virus and plain old math.

Blaximus
Blaximus
2 years ago

More simply, everyone is ” at risk ” but everyone that contracts the virus won’t die. A percentage will require medical assistance. That’s why numbers matter and it’s why N.Y. Governor is requiring a doubling of available hospital beds ( same in Jersey). N.Y.has 53,000 hospital beds for 19 million people….see? That means many people won’t get medical assistance and could possibly die unnecessarily.

having a bad day
having a bad day
2 years ago

@Culum With the caveat that no one knows anything in the absence of hard data – too many unanswered questions, my gut feeling is a lot closer to what Sentient says than HABD. lol… @Sentient’s not wrong… and i actually agree with him about the overall ‘deadlyness’ of the kung flu… AND the lack of perspective in the media/.gov response… the biggest problem of pandemics is always the second and third order effects … AND they KNOW it’s a ‘bio-weapon’… so everybody freaks the f*k out…lol… what we haven’t really talked about, but has been/is always in the background… and… Read more »

IRL
IRL
2 years ago

@HABD AND they KNOW it’s a ‘bio-weapon’… so everybody freaks the f*k out…lol… Do they? But… but… but… what if they freak the fk out… because of the pressure…. like…. you know… maybe they’re expected to do something about the ICU beds… without solid data…. having multiple scenarios at hand…. and an army of advisors and analysts (who don’t have to decide and take responsibility) telling them this is a sht show (whichever way you try to push the society)??? You do the risk assessment, prepare a plan of action for the rainy day and put in the drawer… waiting… Read more »

Blaximus
Blaximus
2 years ago

As of today the count of people I know that have been confirmed covid positive rose to 4. I have a coworker who has a fever and feels ” Ill ” but there’s no confirmation yet. It appears that you have to be really sick before a test can be obtained, but there’s a little confusion as ” testing centers ” outdoors are being established. Outside of the media, I haven’t seen ” panic ” as much as I’ve seen precautions. The media uses terms like fear, terror, panic, afraid, scared and worry an awful lot, but I learned a… Read more »

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

NYC’s lockdown came later than it should have, back in Feb. there were still boneheads urging everyone to stay out in the streets because of normality or something. It’s gonna be ugly in another week, although not as bad as Italy, there will be triage for care eventually. I noticed a pattern and now can add to it. ACE-2 receptors are the major route, maybe the only route, for the virus into lung tissue. Men have more than women. Smokers have more than nonsmokers. People who breath a lot of NO2 probably have more than others. Wuhan, China and northern… Read more »

Anonymous Reader
Anonymous Reader
2 years ago

Blaximus I have a coworker who has a fever and feels ” Ill ” but there’s no confirmation yet. Ask your coworker to sniff stuff. Seriously, sniff that bleach bottle, check the sense of smell, it’s now a known symptom. It appears that you have to be really sick before a test can be obtained, Right, because of a limited supply of test kits. So it is a diagnosis tool, not a screening tool. COVID-19 is different from the previous SARS in communicability. A person with a fever during SARS-3 had just become contagious, so using temperature as a screening… Read more »

Blaximus
Blaximus
2 years ago

AR Unfortunately, my coworker is one of those guys that doesn’t know how anything ( including his own body ) ” works”, and he has no real interest. He depends on doctors and the medical system to instruct him on what to do, and to save him when things go sideways. I asked him how long he’s been ill, and he says ” I dunno “. Fortunately I haven’t had any contact with him for 7+ days, and even then it was social distanced before that became a real thing. But I will ask him about his sense of smell… Read more »

having a bad day
having a bad day
2 years ago

@IRL @HABD “AND they KNOW it’s a ‘bio-weapon’… so everybody freaks the f*k out…lol…” Do they? well, after you posted those tweeters, i’m not sure now… nice find btw!… but given china’s reaction… and that (no HIV/MERS inserts) would REALLY take a load off my mind… not really…lol… this is still a sh*t show… just less potential down-side… if that’s REALLY outside the margin of error…lol article from the tweeter https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.30.927871v1 in comments Alex Crits-Christoph has the mini-tutorial… and if anyone wants to play around with genetic sequencing…lol https://blast.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/Blast.cgi time to revise my theory…lol But… but… but… what if they… Read more »

Blaximus
Blaximus
2 years ago
hamdson
hamdson
2 years ago

Any thoughts on NLP in game? (NLP = neuro linguistic programming) Seems like a big scam,especially after watching of the supposed experts talking about it and demonstrating it (Ross Jefferies among others). None of them seem to have done especially amazing with women, either. But I could be wrong. I was reading a PUA forum earlier and there’s a poster there who claims he can basically get any girl he wants in bed using NLP. It sounds so cheesy to me when I was reading some of his field reports earlier and I think he could be simply making up… Read more »

IRL
IRL
2 years ago

@HABD time to revise my theory…lol In my head there were scenarios in which it takes muuuuuch longer… pop!… that quantum cat (and the multiverse of mutations) just died… lol Ok so maybe it’s time to start thinking about other futures and address this: it really is going to be the mother of all opportunities… ( i wish i knew more about ‘business’ like you and @Palma…lol… but not kidding…) (happy to play along so you don’t feel lonely lol… starting from ground up yet again anyway) @Palma looked at what works and went for that. Process. Precedes. Profit. It… Read more »

Culum Struan
Culum Struan
2 years ago

@hamdson – good luck with keeping the conversation on topic amidst the Kung Flu discussion (lol) Short answer: NLP is not BS but it’s not the magic pill its proponents make it out to be – in particular, making cheesy double entendres and pointing at your dick when making subtle innuendos Ross Jeffries style is probably not going to work (not without a whole bunch of other subcomms and things backing it up). As they say with alcohol and other things – NLP is fine in moderation as part of a balanced (seduction) diet. I’ve only seen the FR excerpts… Read more »

Culum Struan
Culum Struan
2 years ago

HABD – agree with all of that. Biggest impact is going to be the 2nd/3rd order effects and the lockdown was far too late. It literally couldn’t have been done early enough – no one knew how dangerous this was “early enough” and even if they did, the political will and public support would have been lacking.

So now lockdown – it’s gonna be difficult to make sure the cure is not worse than the disease..

theasdgamer
2 years ago

“Right, because of a limited supply of test kits. So it is a diagnosis tool, not a screening tool.”

Diagnosis? For what purpose?

Culum Struan
Culum Struan
2 years ago

I typed out a long post about crypto a couple hours ago but somehow it got eaten even though there were no links and it was all typed on the site (not cut and paste).

Not sure why but I did save it so will repost from my laptop later.

hamdson
hamdson
2 years ago

@Thanks Culum. I’ll try it when i’m out of lockdown. I’d written it off as complete marketing BS like the guys selling courses to literally ‘hypnotrise’ any girl you select into bed So for example, if she comments on my jacket, I could say something like: ”Isn’t it amazing how fabric can sintillate our senses and spark memories that touch our soul, reminding us that we are all one, unified by a divine light and make us feel connect to one another” Or she asks about my hobbies: ”I play poker. When I play, The risk is exciting. The unknown.… Read more »

Blaximus
Blaximus
2 years ago

Whatever a guy says must be congruent with who he is . Idk about nlp the way it’s presented, and it one isn’t a hypnotist good luck with hypnotizing anyone, but you can definitely lead a woman where you want with words and how you say them, combined with body language. An exercise for when lockdown is over – choose a word or thought in your head and try to get someone to repeat it without your ever actually saying it. Example, start small, get a woman to say ” orange ” without using the obvious worse directly. Remember, a… Read more »

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

Hamsdom Culum The guy you are talking about is Bacchus. He also claims to be a model, and artist and an actor. So factor that in your analysis. Basically all his FRs that I’ve seen he has strong IOIs off the bat. I assume also backed up by good body language and eye contact, and voice and the key subcomms) Yup. And iois. I would suggest focussing on the basics – the Mystery Method structure and process (the stages of seduction) and the IOI/IOD loop Yup. Run back those FRs through a standard MM analysis for shits and giggles and… Read more »

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

Blax

A lot of it outside of what you say and body language is a matter of timing, like a comedian uses.

Yup. Like the old joke “what’s the most important thing in com-” “TIMING!”

“Improvisation is your best friend.”

And yet improvisation is improved by structure, practice, repetition. Ever see a guy try and heckle a comic?

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

Blax Culum Hanmsdon Haven’t checked out WIA in a bit. Had a post right on topic. Was going to clip a bit but damn the whole thing is worth a read http://www.westindianarchie.com/game-vs-pick-up-part-487/ Back in the olden times of pick up, there was thing called “elicitation of values” This was during the Neurolingustic Programming/Speed Seduction days. There were a couple ways to play this. Being able to get a girl to divulge this sort of stuff is very attractive in a man. The act of her actually divulging these things builds comfort, builds emotional connection. But the “Game” lite aspect of… Read more »

TheMarquis
TheMarquis
2 years ago

Sentient and Having A Bad Day We are in a new city for a one year work assignment for me. Assignment will wrap up in 2-3 months and we will go back to our home city. I’d be happy to extend my stay for 6 months – it would let me wrap up some loose ends and also avoid moving during pandemic craziness. But basically I want to go home and back to work at HQ for my company. Wife has been headhunted for a potential new job in current city. She is currently doing some freelance consulting work but… Read more »

Culum Struan
Culum Struan
2 years ago

Oh and also, when we go back home, there is a decent chance that I will be temporarily moved to another department at HQ. It’s not my top choice but I don’t mind being there for 6 months and making some new contacts before returning to the projects I want to do. If I stay in current city and go back and forth to HQ, then I will stay in the same department, but it won’t actually help me because I can’t get ahead in my current department anyway if I’m not at HQ. Wife is trying to spin this… Read more »

Culum Struan
Culum Struan
2 years ago

Oopsie. Wrong login fail. Guess it had to happen eventually. Started originally to avoid doxxing myself but at this point anyone who knows me will probably be able to identify me from all the postings anyway. I am Spartacus. OK, I am Marquis. Everything I’ve ever posted is true (barring minor identifying details like geography and dates etc being changed to avoid doxxing). Yes, I’m married with kids – Marquis ID was just to ask the marriage and kids related questions. All the Culum stuff is all the stuff I did on my extensive biz travels (to the “Big City”… Read more »

Culum Struan
Culum Struan
2 years ago

Actually, no – I just remembered. When I originally started commenting back in the Heartiste days, it was to get advice from YaReally. At the time (his views softened later), he had very strong views about men who cheated and I didn’t want to put him off answering me. So I didn’t mention being married then and it went from there – first on CH, and then here, to avoid doxxing myself.

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

what the fuck is going on here?

IAS
IAS
2 years ago

@Culum: plot twist! At least for me.

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

Not computing. it doesn’t make any sense that Marquis can’t accept the advice of Culum. Schizo?

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

whoever you are My wife talks about it a lot and is constantly planning all the things she’ll do in her new job. I have refused to get drawn on it or express an opinion. I just listen Leadership fail. obvi. *Today she asked me outright – she said “I know you have your heart set on [home]”. I just didn’t want to engage in the conversation and said I didn’t believe in discussing hypotheticals and if her potential employer decided to actually hire for the position and go ahead with the project and have a formal interview, we could… Read more »

!
!
2 years ago

.

Sentient
Sentient
2 years ago

Rollo – weigh in here. IP check on aisle 7…

Marquis – financially strapped and stressed AFC tip toeing around wife and struggling with kids

Culum Struan – International badass, trim, handsome, crypto investor, martial artist…

say what?

Culum Struan
Culum Struan
2 years ago

@Sentient, @IAS It’s me. No one is impersonating me or using a puppet account or anything. One person. I’ve just been using two accounts as I explained in the above posts – one for marriage related stuff and one for other stuff. Until today’s login fail. Not schizo. Confused a bit maybe (and now that I think about it, some of my Game issues about being “on” all the time may have come from dividing up my life like this for too long). I can still go on about the YaReally Archive or how HABD helped me beat a potential… Read more »

Blaximus
Blaximus
2 years ago

Well, I’m actually ASD Gamer.

Sometimes I’m scribblerg as well.

In real life I’m Prince Charles. Cough, cough.

Culum Struan
Culum Struan
2 years ago

Palma

I’m sorry.

I was going to tell you when we met, until corona put paid to it.

having a bad day
having a bad day
2 years ago

@IRL

what the F*K, dude!!!…lol… how did you get dr. strange to drag us into an alternative future timeline?…lol

@Culum/Marquis…

lol…

good luck!

IAS
IAS
2 years ago

@Culum: first thing I mentioned to Palma was “this would explain the on / off thing”.

Also contributes toward explaining why you panicked in that blackmail incident instead of holding Frame.

Now one more for you to consider yourself, although this might be projection from me (as you may remember I’m recently divorced)… I wonder if your split account reflects some subconscious desire on your part for divorcing, or resentment about being married.

But I didn’t have kids…

having a bad day
having a bad day
2 years ago

@Culum/Marquis

@Culum

You didn’t tell me you were married – not that I give a shit that you’re married.

Bad form though .. and it means all advice has been coming from the wrong origin.

Which will be why it hasn’t worked.

+1…

although girls are girls…lol…

pick one… which one do you like better?… be that dude… married or not…

good luck!

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